Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.

Markets in this Event

Frequently Asked Questions

How many markets are available for "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?"?

There are 1 active prediction market available for "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?", with $5.6 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?" with $5.6 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 13%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around June 30, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$5.57M Vol$585.39K 24h$264.73K Liq

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Resolution Details

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

FAQ

How many markets are available for "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?"?

There are 1 active prediction market available for "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?", with $5.6 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?" with $5.6 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 13%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around June 30, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.