Next French Presidential Election — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Markets in this Event
- Marine Le Pen — Yes 8%
- Éric Zemmour — Yes 1%
- David Lisnard — Yes 2%
- Laurent Wauquiez — Yes 0%
- Gabriel Attal — Yes 3%
- François Hollande — Yes 3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon — Yes 10%
- Fabien Roussel — Yes 0%
- Dominique de Villepin — Yes 7%
- François Asselineau — Yes 0%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan — Yes 0%
- Valérie Pécresse — Yes 0%
- Élisabeth Borne — Yes 0%
- Jean Castex — Yes 3%
- Carole Delga — Yes 0%
- Manuel Bompard — Yes 0%
- Juan Branco — Yes 1%
- Sébastien Lecornu — Yes 2%
- Jordan Bardella — Yes 27%
- Édouard Philippe — Yes 20%
Frequently Asked Questions
How many markets are available for "Next French Presidential Election"?
There are 36 active prediction markets available for "Next French Presidential Election", with $14.4 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.
What is the most traded market in this event?
The most traded market is "Sarah Knafo" with $764K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 3%.
When do these markets close?
Markets in this event are scheduled to close around April 30, 2027. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.
How do prediction markets work?
Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Next French Presidential Election", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.




































