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Event

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K
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Polymarket
PolymarketPolymarket
HOTAI
HOTAI

Next Claude Opus released by...?

$38.12K 24h↘15.0%·$78.54K Liquidity
$38.12K 24h·$78.54K Liquidity
OutcomeChanceVolume24hLiquidityBuy
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 16, 2026?
July 16
4%
4%$1.38K$1.31K$3.63K
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026?
July 17
6.4%
6.4%$8.08K$993.77$10.52K
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?
July 22
39%
39%$13.30K$12.97K$7.05K
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
July 24
49%
49%$7.76K$4.68K$3.78K
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
July 31
72%
72%$44.30K$14.86K$11.37K

FAQ

Tap a question to read the answer.

How many markets are available for "Next Claude Opus released by...?"?

There are 8 active prediction markets available for "Next Claude Opus released by...?" on FrenFlow, with $92K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "July 31" with $44K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 71%.

What are the current odds for "Next Claude Opus released by...?"?

Current standings

  1. 1December 3199%
  2. 2October 3198%
  3. 3August 3197%
  4. 4July 3171%
  5. 5July 2451%

Odds shift in real-time as traders buy and sell shares based on new information, so the ranking reflects the market's latest collective view.

How much trading activity has "Next Claude Opus released by...?" generated?

"Next Claude Opus released by...?" has generated $92K in total trading volume since launch, with $38K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume aggregates more participants behind the implied probabilities, generally tightening spreads and sharpening the consensus signal.

What is the price trend for "Next Claude Opus released by...?"?

December 31 has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 99% to 99%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new information entering the market.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around December 31, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Next Claude Opus released by...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00. On FrenFlow you can also follow the top traders on this market and automatically copy their positions, so you participate in their picks without having to time each trade yourself.

Place Trade
Amount
$0.00
$pUSD
Potential win
$0.00+0%

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