Measles cases in U.S. by April 30? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Markets in this Event

Frequently Asked Questions

How many markets are available for "Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?"?

There are 6 active prediction markets available for "Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?", with $148K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "2000" with $41K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 3%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around April 30, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Polymarket
HOTSCIENCE

Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

$148.24K Vol$22.27K 24h$26.76K Liq6 mkts
OutcomeBuy
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
1800
75%4.5%1h16.1%24h$30.87K
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
1900
20%17.5%24h$36.36K
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
1950
7%11.5%24h$18.27K
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
2000
6%0.1%1h6.5%24h$41.29K
Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
2100
2.1%0.1%1h0.4%24h$6.23K

Market Talks

Resolution Details

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

FAQ

How many markets are available for "Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?"?

There are 6 active prediction markets available for "Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?", with $148K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "2000" with $41K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 3%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around April 30, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.