How many Tornadoes in the US in March? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series). Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count. As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on April 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time. If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments. The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time. If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.

Markets in this Event

Frequently Asked Questions

How many markets are available for "How many Tornadoes in the US in March?"?

There are 5 active prediction markets available for "How many Tornadoes in the US in March?", with $222K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "150+" with $69K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 100%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around April 10, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "How many Tornadoes in the US in March?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Polymarket
HOTWEATHER

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

$222.15K Vol$14.32K 24h$1.14M Liq5 mkts
OutcomeBuy
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
150+
99.9%↗0.2%24h$69.24K
Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
<70
0.1%$30.51K
Will 70 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
70–99
0.1%$26.00K
Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
100–129
0.2%↘0.1%24h$48.21K
Will 130 to 149 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
130–149
0.6%↘0.3%24h$48.20K

Market Talks

Resolution Details

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).

FAQ

How many markets are available for "How many Tornadoes in the US in March?"?

There are 5 active prediction markets available for "How many Tornadoes in the US in March?", with $222K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "150+" with $69K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 100%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around April 10, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "How many Tornadoes in the US in March?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.