How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
| Outcome | Buy |
|---|---|
<5 62%↘1.5%24h$82.56K Spread 5¢ | |
5-6 7%↗4.5%24h$85.40K Spread 3¢ | |
9-10 6%↘8.8%24h$55.01K Spread 8¢ | |
7-8 3%↗0.1%1h↘1.1%24h$151.14K Spread 8¢ | |
11-12 6.8%↗0.1%1h↗0.1%24h$3.02K Spread 5¢ |
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
FAQ
How many markets are available for "How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?"?
There are 8 active prediction markets available for "How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?", with $413K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.
What is the most traded market in this event?
The most traded market is "7-8" with $151K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 5%.
When do these markets close?
Markets in this event are scheduled to close around December 31, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.
How do prediction markets work?
Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.