How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Markets in this Event

Frequently Asked Questions

How many markets are available for "How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?"?

There are 7 active prediction markets available for "How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?", with $1.2 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "11–13" with $397K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 28%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around December 31, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Polymarket
HOTWEATHER

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.20M Vol$29.96K 24h$44.85K Liq7 mkts
OutcomeBuy
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
11–13
25%↗2.0%24h$397.03K
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
14–16
26%↘0.5%24h$160.57K
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
17–19
20%↘0.5%24h$200.65K
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
20+
10.8%↘0.1%24h$56.38K
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
8–10
7%↘0.1%1h↗0.4%24h$123.73K

Market Talks

Resolution Details

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

FAQ

How many markets are available for "How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?"?

There are 7 active prediction markets available for "How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?", with $1.2 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "11–13" with $397K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 28%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around December 31, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.