Fed decisions (Jan-Apr) — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Markets in this Event

Frequently Asked Questions

How many markets are available for "Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)"?

There are 9 active prediction markets available for "Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)", with $476K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "Pause–Pause–Cut" with $187K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 1%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around April 29, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Polymarket
HOTECONOMY

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$476.27K Vol$20.88K 24h$81.30K Liq3 mkts
OutcomeBuy
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
Pause–Pause–Pause
97.8%↘0.1%24h$81.60K
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
Pause–Pause–Cut
1.3%↘0.1%1h↗0.1%24h$186.83K
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
Other
0.8%↘0.1%1h↘0.4%24h$167.86K

Market Talks

Resolution Details

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

FAQ

How many markets are available for "Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)"?

There are 9 active prediction markets available for "Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)", with $476K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "Pause–Pause–Cut" with $187K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 1%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around April 29, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.