Fed Decision in June? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Markets in this Event

Frequently Asked Questions

How many markets are available for "Fed Decision in June?"?

There are 5 active prediction markets available for "Fed Decision in June?", with $6.5 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "50+ bps decrease" with $1.9 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 1%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around June 17, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Fed Decision in June?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Polymarket
HOTPOLITICS

Fed Decision in June?

$6.52M Vol$204.52K 24h$893.90K Liq5 mkts
OutcomeBuy
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
No change
88%$1.28M
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
25 bps decrease
9%$972.56K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
25 bps increase
2%↘0.1%1h↘0.3%24h$1.26M
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
50+ bps decrease
0.9%↗0.1%24h$1.91M
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
50+ bps increase
0.6%$1.10M

Market Talks

Resolution Details

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

FAQ

How many markets are available for "Fed Decision in June?"?

There are 5 active prediction markets available for "Fed Decision in June?", with $6.5 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "50+ bps decrease" with $1.9 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 1%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around June 17, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Fed Decision in June?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.