There are 10 active prediction markets available for "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?" on FrenFlow, with $6.0 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

The most traded market is "April 30" with $1.7 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 0%.

Current standings

1. 1December 3131%
2. 2September 3022%
3. 3August 3116%
4. 4July 315%

Odds shift in real-time as traders buy and sell shares based on new information, so the ranking reflects the market's latest collective view.

"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?" has generated $6.0 million in total trading volume since launch, with $201K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume aggregates more participants behind the implied probabilities, generally tightening spreads and sharpening the consensus signal.

December 31 has moved up 3 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 28% to 31%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new information entering the market.

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around June 30, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00. On FrenFlow you can also follow the top traders on this market and automatically copy their positions, so you participate in their picks without having to time each trade yourself.