Will Trump visit China by April 30?
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Current Market Data
- Yes probability
- 40%
- No probability
- 61%
- Total volume
- $1.9 million
- 24-hour volume
- $157K
- Closing date
- April 30, 2026
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Will Trump visit China by April 30?"?
Traders currently give this a 40% chance of Yes and 61% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will Trump visit China by April 30?"?
This market has seen $1.9 million in total trading volume, with $157K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on April 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".