Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a meeting with Chancellor Merz of Germany on March 3, 2026 (see https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/296130249729874). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Chancellor Merz on March 3, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Chancellor Merz. All such events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Current Market Data
- Yes probability
- 86%
- No probability
- 14%
- Total volume
- $6K
- 24-hour volume
- $4K
- Closing date
- March 3, 2026
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?"?
Traders currently give this a 86% chance of Yes and 14% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?"?
This market has seen $6K in total trading volume, with $4K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on March 3, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
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Resolution Details
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a meeting with Chancellor Merz of Germany on March 3, 2026 (see https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/296130249729874).