Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States agrees to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Continued enrichment of uranium by Iran refers to US acceptance of the enrichment of, or the right to enrich, any quantity of uranium by Iran for any future amount of time. Agreements that include limitations, restrictions, or specified terms (e.g., caps on enrichment level, monitoring requirements) will qualify, provided the United States accepts continued enrichment. The United States will be considered to have agreed to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran if: - Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that they have definitively agreed to accept the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran. - Continued enrichment of uranium by Iran is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means. Agreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will be considered, regardless of when or whether the specified action is begun. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and the US government and their official representatives; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
15%
No probability
85%
Total volume
$13K
24-hour volume
$13K
Closing date
April 30, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?"?

Traders currently give this a 15% chance of Yes and 85% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?"?

This market has seen $13K in total trading volume, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
ACTIVEPolitics

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

$13.2K Vol$13.2K 24h$14.0K Liq

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Resolution Details

Created AtApr 8, 2026, 4:57 PM ET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States agrees to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?"?

Traders currently give this a 15% chance of Yes and 85% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?"?

This market has seen $13K in total trading volume, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.