Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
22%
No probability
78%
Total volume
$21K
24-hour volume
$3K
Closing date
April 12, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?"?

Traders currently give this a 22% chance of Yes and 78% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?"?

This market has seen $21K in total trading volume, with $3K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 12, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 3 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 25% to 22%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
ACTIVEElections

Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

$21.2K Vol$3.2K 24h$22.5K Liq 3.0% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtMar 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ET

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?"?

Traders currently give this a 22% chance of Yes and 78% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?"?

This market has seen $21K in total trading volume, with $3K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 12, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 3 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 25% to 22%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.