Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
99%
No probability
1%
Total volume
$37K
Closing date
December 31, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?"?

Traders currently give this a 99% chance of Yes and 1% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?"?

This market has seen $37K in total trading volume. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
ACTIVEScience

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$37.0K Vol$5.1K Liq

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Resolution Details

Created AtNov 27, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?"?

Traders currently give this a 99% chance of Yes and 1% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?"?

This market has seen $37K in total trading volume. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.