Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Current Market Data
- Yes probability
- 2%
- No probability
- 98%
- Total volume
- $982K
- 24-hour volume
- $136K
- Closing date
- December 31, 2026
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?"?
Traders currently give this a 2% chance of Yes and 98% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?"?
This market has seen $982K in total trading volume, with $136K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 2% to 2%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
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Resolution Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."