Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Current Market Data
- Yes probability
- 21%
- No probability
- 80%
- Total volume
- $12.9 million
- 24-hour volume
- $267K
- Closing date
- December 31, 2026
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?"?
Traders currently give this a 21% chance of Yes and 80% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?"?
This market has seen $12.9 million in total trading volume, with $267K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved up 1 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 20% to 21%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
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Resolution Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".