Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
14%
No probability
86%
Total volume
$9K
24-hour volume
$480
Closing date
March 22, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?"?

Traders currently give this a 14% chance of Yes and 86% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?"?

This market has seen $9K in total trading volume, with $480 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on March 22, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 4 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 18% to 14%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
ACTIVEElections

Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

$9.0K Vol$480 24h$2.1K Liq↘ 4.0% 24h

My Positions

Loading orderbook...
Loading trades...

Market Talks

Resolution Details

Created AtMar 12, 2026, 10:30 AM ET

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?"?

Traders currently give this a 14% chance of Yes and 86% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?"?

This market has seen $9K in total trading volume, with $480 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on March 22, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 4 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 18% to 14%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.