Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
13%
No probability
88%
Total volume
$2.2 million
24-hour volume
$14K
Closing date
November 3, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?"?

Traders currently give this a 13% chance of Yes and 88% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?"?

This market has seen $2.2 million in total trading volume, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on November 3, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
ACTIVEPolitics

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

$2.2M Vol$14.4K 24h$317.3K Liq

My Positions

Loading orderbook...
Loading trades...

Market Talks

Resolution Details

Created AtJul 11, 2025, 3:29 PM ET

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?"?

Traders currently give this a 13% chance of Yes and 88% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?"?

This market has seen $2.2 million in total trading volume, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on November 3, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.