Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
5%
No probability
95%
Total volume
$49K
24-hour volume
$173

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?"?

Traders currently give this a 5% chance of Yes and 95% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?"?

This market has seen $49K in total trading volume, with $173 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 1 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 6% to 5%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
ACTIVETech

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

$48.7K Vol$173 24h$5.6K Liq↘ 0.5% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtMar 25, 2026, 5:14 PM ET

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?"?

Traders currently give this a 5% chance of Yes and 95% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?"?

This market has seen $49K in total trading volume, with $173 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 1 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 6% to 5%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.