Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Current Market Data

SpaceX probability
91%
OpenAI probability
9%
Total volume
$63K
24-hour volume
$2K
Closing date
December 31, 2027

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?"?

Traders currently give this a 91% chance of SpaceX and 9% chance of OpenAI. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?"?

This market has seen $63K in total trading volume, with $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2027. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

SpaceX has moved down 1 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 92% to 91%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
ACTIVETech

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$62.9K Vol$2.1K 24h$7.2K Liq 0.7% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtJan 30, 2026, 7:04 AM ET

This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?"?

Traders currently give this a 91% chance of SpaceX and 9% chance of OpenAI. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?"?

This market has seen $63K in total trading volume, with $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2027. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

SpaceX has moved down 1 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 92% to 91%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.