Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
3%
No probability
97%
Total volume
$146K
24-hour volume
$51
Closing date
December 31, 2027

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?"?

Traders currently give this a 3% chance of Yes and 97% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?"?

This market has seen $146K in total trading volume, with $51 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2027. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
ACTIVETech

Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

$146.4K Vol$51 24h$10.7K Liq

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Resolution Details

Created AtJan 23, 2026, 1:32 PM ET

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?"?

Traders currently give this a 3% chance of Yes and 97% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?"?

This market has seen $146K in total trading volume, with $51 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2027. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.