Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Current Market Data
- Yes probability
- 39%
- No probability
- 62%
- Total volume
- $109K
- 24-hour volume
- $28K
- Closing date
- June 30, 2026
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?"?
Traders currently give this a 39% chance of Yes and 62% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?"?
This market has seen $109K in total trading volume, with $28K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on June 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved up 1 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 38% to 39%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
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Resolution Details
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".