Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
8%
No probability
93%
Total volume
$26K
Closing date
June 30, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?"?

Traders currently give this a 8% chance of Yes and 93% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?"?

This market has seen $26K in total trading volume. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on June 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
ACTIVEPolitics

Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

$26.1K Vol$23.5K Liq

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Resolution Details

Created AtFeb 12, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?"?

Traders currently give this a 8% chance of Yes and 93% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?"?

This market has seen $26K in total trading volume. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on June 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.