Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
1%
No probability
99%
Total volume
$243K
24-hour volume
$3K
Closing date
December 31, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?"?

Traders currently give this a 1% chance of Yes and 99% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?"?

This market has seen $243K in total trading volume, with $3K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 1% to 1%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
ACTIVEEconomy

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

$243.4K Vol$2.6K 24h$90.2K Liq 0.1% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtNov 11, 2025, 12:42 PM ET

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?"?

Traders currently give this a 1% chance of Yes and 99% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?"?

This market has seen $243K in total trading volume, with $3K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 1% to 1%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.