Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Current Market Data

Yes probability
0%
No probability
100%
Total volume
$3.5 million
24-hour volume
$46K
Closing date
October 4, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?

Traders currently give this a 0% chance of Yes and 100% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?

This market has seen $3.5 million in total trading volume, with $46K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on October 4, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
ACTIVEWorld

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

$3.5M Vol$45.7K 24h$214.7K Liq

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Resolution Details

Created AtSep 17, 2025, 2:40 PM ET

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?

Traders currently give this a 0% chance of Yes and 100% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?

This market has seen $3.5 million in total trading volume, with $46K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on October 4, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.