Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Current Market Data
- Yes probability
- 84%
- No probability
- 16%
- Total volume
- $1.5 million
- 24-hour volume
- $36K
- Closing date
- March 3, 2026
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?"?
Traders currently give this a 84% chance of Yes and 16% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?"?
This market has seen $1.5 million in total trading volume, with $36K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on March 3, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved up 1 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 83% to 84%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
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Resolution Details
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.