Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
30%
No probability
71%
Total volume
$28K
24-hour volume
$2K
Closing date
December 31, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?"?

Traders currently give this a 30% chance of Yes and 71% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?"?

This market has seen $28K in total trading volume, with $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 2 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 32% to 30%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
ACTIVEEconomy

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

$27.8K Vol$1.9K 24h$25.9K Liq 2.0% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtNov 13, 2025, 1:57 PM ET

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?"?

Traders currently give this a 30% chance of Yes and 71% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?"?

This market has seen $28K in total trading volume, with $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 2 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 32% to 30%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.