Will grok-4.20-beta1 be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Will grok-4.20-beta1 be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?"?
Traders currently give this a 2% chance of Yes and 98% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will grok-4.20-beta1 be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?"?
This market has seen $82 in total trading volume, with $82 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on April 17, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will grok-4.20-beta1 be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Will grok-4.20-beta1 be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?"?
Traders currently give this a 2% chance of Yes and 98% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will grok-4.20-beta1 be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?"?
This market has seen $82 in total trading volume, with $82 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on April 17, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.