Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Current Market Data
- Yes probability
- 73%
- No probability
- 28%
- Total volume
- $850K
- 24-hour volume
- $52K
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?"?
Traders currently give this a 73% chance of Yes and 28% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?"?
This market has seen $850K in total trading volume, with $52K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 4 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 77% to 73%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
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Resolution Details
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March.