Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?"?
Traders currently give this a 11% chance of Yes and 90% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?"?
This market has seen $846K in total trading volume, with $73K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on April 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 5 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 16% to 11%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?"?
Traders currently give this a 11% chance of Yes and 90% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?"?
This market has seen $846K in total trading volume, with $73K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on April 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 5 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 16% to 11%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.