Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?"?
Traders currently give this a 3% chance of Yes and 97% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?"?
This market has seen $4.2 million in total trading volume, with $415K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on June 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 3% to 3%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?"?
Traders currently give this a 3% chance of Yes and 97% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?"?
This market has seen $4.2 million in total trading volume, with $415K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on June 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 3% to 3%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.