Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?"?
Traders currently give this a 0% chance of Yes and 100% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?"?
This market has seen $17K in total trading volume, with $7K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on April 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 0% to 0%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?"?
Traders currently give this a 0% chance of Yes and 100% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?"?
This market has seen $17K in total trading volume, with $7K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on April 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 0% to 0%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.