Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has a final "High" price of $1,000,000 or higher before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. The resolution source for Bitcoin is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
49%
No probability
51%
Total volume
$4.0 million
24-hour volume
$6K
Closing date
July 31, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?"?

Traders currently give this a 49% chance of Yes and 51% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?"?

This market has seen $4.0 million in total trading volume, with $6K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on July 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 49% to 49%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
ACTIVECulture

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

$4.0M Vol$5.6K 24h$473.9K Liq↗ 0.1% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtMay 2, 2025, 11:24 AM ET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has a final "High" price of $1,000,000 or higher before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?"?

Traders currently give this a 49% chance of Yes and 51% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?"?

This market has seen $4.0 million in total trading volume, with $6K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on July 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 49% to 49%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.