Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Current Market Data
- Yes probability
- 24%
- No probability
- 76%
- Total volume
- $455K
- 24-hour volume
- $127K
- Closing date
- January 1, 2028
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?"?
Traders currently give this a 24% chance of Yes and 76% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?"?
This market has seen $455K in total trading volume, with $127K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved up 2 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 22% to 24%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
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Resolution Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."