Trump approval Up or Down this week?

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Current Market Data

Up probability
38%
Down probability
62%
Total volume
$53
24-hour volume
$53
Closing date
April 18, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Trump approval Up or Down this week?"?

Traders currently give this a 38% chance of Up and 62% chance of Down. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Trump approval Up or Down this week?"?

This market has seen $53 in total trading volume, with $53 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 18, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Trump approval Up or Down this week?
ACTIVEPolitics

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$53 Vol$53 24h$1.7K Liq
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Resolution Details

Created AtApr 9, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Trump approval Up or Down this week?"?

Traders currently give this a 38% chance of Up and 62% chance of Down. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Trump approval Up or Down this week?"?

This market has seen $53 in total trading volume, with $53 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 18, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.