Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support. Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution. A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
9%
No probability
91%
Total volume
$30K
24-hour volume
$19K
Closing date
April 17, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?"?

Traders currently give this a 9% chance of Yes and 91% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?"?

This market has seen $30K in total trading volume, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 17, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 3 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 12% to 9%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?
ACTIVEEconomy

Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?

$30.1K Vol$19.4K 24h$22.7K Liq 3.0% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtApr 8, 2026, 3:21 PM ET

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?"?

Traders currently give this a 9% chance of Yes and 91% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?"?

This market has seen $30K in total trading volume, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 17, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 3 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 12% to 9%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.