SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
89%
No probability
11%
Total volume
$90K
24-hour volume
$727
Closing date
December 31, 2027

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?"?

Traders currently give this a 89% chance of Yes and 11% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?"?

This market has seen $90K in total trading volume, with $727 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2027. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 2 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 91% to 89%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
ACTIVETech

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

$90.2K Vol$727 24h$11.9K Liq 2.0% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtDec 10, 2025, 5:52 PM ET

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?"?

Traders currently give this a 89% chance of Yes and 11% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?"?

This market has seen $90K in total trading volume, with $727 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2027. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 2 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 91% to 89%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.