Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?"?
Traders currently give this a 94% chance of Yes and 6% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?"?
This market has seen $1.3 million in total trading volume, with $95K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on June 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 2 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 96% to 94%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?"?
Traders currently give this a 94% chance of Yes and 6% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?"?
This market has seen $1.3 million in total trading volume, with $95K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on June 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 2 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 96% to 94%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.