Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
20%
No probability
81%
Total volume
$21K
24-hour volume
$13K
Closing date
April 11, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?"?

Traders currently give this a 20% chance of Yes and 81% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?"?

This market has seen $21K in total trading volume, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 11, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 4 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 16% to 20%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?
ACTIVEWeather

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?

$20.7K Vol$13.5K 24h$1.3K Liq 4.0% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtApr 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?"?

Traders currently give this a 20% chance of Yes and 81% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?"?

This market has seen $21K in total trading volume, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 11, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 4 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 16% to 20%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.