GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
85%
No probability
16%
Total volume
$5K
24-hour volume
$5K
Closing date
April 15, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?"?

Traders currently give this a 85% chance of Yes and 16% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?"?

This market has seen $5K in total trading volume, with $5K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 15, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 21 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 64% to 85%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
ACTIVETech

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

$4.8K Vol$4.8K 24h$18.8K Liq↗ 20.5% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtApr 9, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

FAQ

What are the current odds for "GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?"?

Traders currently give this a 85% chance of Yes and 16% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?"?

This market has seen $5K in total trading volume, with $5K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 15, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 21 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 64% to 85%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.