2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections. A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives, if they win a majority of voting seats. A party will be considered to have 'control' of the Senate if they have more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice President. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. If control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. If control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
1%
No probability
99%
Total volume
$660K
24-hour volume
$3K
Closing date
November 3, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House"?

Traders currently give this a 1% chance of Yes and 99% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House"?

This market has seen $660K in total trading volume, with $3K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on November 3, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 1% to 1%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
ACTIVEPolitics

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

$659.8K Vol$3.0K 24h$104.5K Liq↗ 0.1% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtJul 11, 2025, 4:47 PM ET

This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House"?

Traders currently give this a 1% chance of Yes and 99% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House"?

This market has seen $660K in total trading volume, with $3K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on November 3, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 1% to 1%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.