10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
FAQ
What are the current odds for "10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?"?
Traders currently give this a 4% chance of Yes and 96% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?"?
This market has seen $540K in total trading volume, with $3K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 4% to 4%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
FAQ
What are the current odds for "10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?"?
Traders currently give this a 4% chance of Yes and 96% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?"?
This market has seen $540K in total trading volume, with $3K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 4% to 4%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.