US forces enter Iran by..? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markets in this Event
- January 31? — Yes 0%
- March 31 — Yes 23%
- February 28 — Yes 0%
- December 31 — Yes 39%
- March 3 — Yes 1%
- March 1 — Yes 0%
- March 14 — Yes 15%
- March 7 — Yes 7%
Frequently Asked Questions
How many markets are available for "US forces enter Iran by..?"?
There are 8 active prediction markets available for "US forces enter Iran by..?", with $2.4 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.
What is the most traded market in this event?
The most traded market is "March 31" with $810K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 23%.
How do prediction markets work?
Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "US forces enter Iran by..?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
US forces enter Iran by..?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Price History
Markets
| Outcome | Buy |
|---|---|
December 31 39%↘ 3.0%$88.23K | |
March 31 23%↘ 0.5%$810.05K | |
March 14 15%$73.86K | |
March 7 7%$93.64K | |
March 3 1%$151.29K |