Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Markets in this Event

Frequently Asked Questions

How many markets are available for "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?"?

There are 11 active prediction markets available for "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?", with $27.9 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "April 15" with $9.5 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 0%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around June 30, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Polymarket
HOT

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

$27.85M Vol$779.55K 24h$293.77K Liq4 mkts
OutcomeVolumeBuy
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
April 21
41%4.5%1h19.5%24h$1.73M
$1.73M
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
April 30
55%4.5%1h12.0%24h$5.60M
$5.60M
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
May 31
82%6.5%1h12.0%24h$434.08K
$434.08K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
June 30
88%5.5%24h$2.10M
$2.10M

Market Talks

Resolution Details

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

FAQ

How many markets are available for "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?"?

There are 11 active prediction markets available for "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?", with $27.9 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "April 15" with $9.5 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 0%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around June 30, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.