How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markets in this Event
- 0 — Yes 0%
- 4 — Yes 32%
- 8 — Yes 3%
- 12 — Yes 1%
- 1 — Yes 0%
- 5 — Yes 20%
- 9 — Yes 1%
- 13 — Yes 0%
- 2 — Yes 5%
- 6 — Yes 8%
- 10 — Yes 1%
- 14 — Yes 0%
- 3 — Yes 20%
- 7 — Yes 9%
- 11 — Yes 0%
- 15+ — Yes 0%
Frequently Asked Questions
How many markets are available for "How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?"?
There are 16 active prediction markets available for "How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?", with $1.4 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.
What is the most traded market in this event?
The most traded market is "4" with $531K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 32%.
When do these markets close?
Markets in this event are scheduled to close around December 31, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.
How do prediction markets work?
Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Price History
Markets
| Outcome | Buy |
|---|---|
4 32%↘ 3.5%$531.41K | |
5 20%$32.80K | |
3 20%↗ 6.5%$122.36K | |
7 9%$30.27K | |
6 8%↘ 0.7%$16.14K | |
2 5%↘ 1.9%$327.38K | |
8 3%↘ 2.0%$22.21K | |
9 1%↘ 0.8%$50.98K | |
12 1%↘ 0.1%$46.75K | |
10 1%↘ 0.1%$11.77K | |
14 0%↘ 0.1%$39.16K | |
15+ 0%↘ 0.2%$17.17K | |
11 0%↘ 0.3%$14.03K | |
13 0%$13.70K |