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Fed Decision in September?
7d
No change
53%
Yes
53¢
No
47¢
25 bps increase
47%
Yes
47¢
No
53¢
+3 more markets
1.0k
$81K Vol
P
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
114d
0 (0 bps)
92%
Yes
92¢
No
8¢
1 (25 bps)
6%
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
+11 more markets
3.4k
$97K Vol
P
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
113d
↓ 1.5%
45%
Yes
45¢
No
55¢
↑ 4.25%
23%
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
+18 more markets
387
$2K Vol
P
Fed Decision in October?
50d
No change
69%
Yes
69¢
No
31¢
25 bps increase
29%
Yes
29¢
No
71¢
+3 more markets
231
$587 Vol
P
Fed rate hike in 2026?
91d
Yes 69¢
No 31¢
5.0k
$4K Vol
P
Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
68d
-0.8%–0.0%
67%
Yes
67¢
No
33¢
+9 more markets
11
$108 Vol
P
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
114d
1 (25 bps)
43%
Yes
43¢
No
57¢
0 (0 bps)
31%
Yes
31¢
No
69¢
+4 more markets
49
$39 Vol
P
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
114d
June 30, 2027
10%
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
December 31, 2026
4%
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
83
$146K Vol
P
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
8d
Pause–Pause–Pause
53%
Yes
53¢
No
47¢
Other
51%
Yes
51¢
No
49¢
+1 more markets
49
$16K Vol
P
Fed rate hike by...?
57d
October Meeting
63%
Yes
63¢
No
37¢
September Meeting
40%
Yes
40¢
No
60¢
27
$6K Vol
P
Bank of Japan Decision in September?
10d
25 bps increase
98%
Yes
98¢
No
2¢
25 bps decrease
30%
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
+3 more markets
44
$4K Vol
P
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
50d
Other
40%
Yes
40¢
No
60¢
Pause–Pause–Cut
6%
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
+3 more markets
19
$2K Vol
P
Bank of England decision in September?
9d
No change
98%
Yes
98¢
No
2¢
25 bps increase
3%
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
+3 more markets
20
$3K Vol
P
Fed Decision in January?
141d
25 bps increase
24%
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
+4 more markets
21
$647 Vol
P
Fed Decision in December?
92d
25 bps increase
44%
Yes
44¢
No
56¢
No change
43%
Yes
43¢
No
57¢
+3 more markets
7
$10 Vol
P
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
114d
Yes 6¢
No 94¢
52
$0 Vol
P
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
114d
3.6%
100%
Yes
100¢
No
0¢
3.5%
100%
Yes
100¢
No
0¢
+6 more markets
35
$1K Vol
P
Largest Company end of September?
22d
NVIDIA
97%
Yes
97¢
No
3¢
Apple
3%
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
+7 more markets
11
$31 Vol
P
2nd Largest Company end of September?
22d
SpaceX
100%
Yes
100¢
No
0¢
Tesla
100%
Yes
100¢
No
0¢
+7 more markets
9
$6 Vol
P
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
114d
4.8%
95%
Yes
95¢
No
5¢
+5 more markets
7
$2K Vol
