There are 3 active prediction markets available for "Will Hezbollah disarm by...?" on FrenFlow, with $3.1 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

The most traded market is "December 31" with $2.1 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 5%.

"Will Hezbollah disarm by...?" has generated $3.1 million in total trading volume since launch, with $108 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume aggregates more participants behind the implied probabilities, generally tightening spreads and sharpening the consensus signal.

December 31 has moved down 1 point in the last 24 hours — from approximately 6% to 5%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new information entering the market.

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around January 1, 2027. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Will Hezbollah disarm by...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00. On FrenFlow you can also follow the top traders on this market and automatically copy their positions, so you participate in their picks without having to time each trade yourself.