There are 7 active prediction markets available for "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?" on FrenFlow, with $2.9 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

The most traded market is "December 31, 2026" with $2.3 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 6%.

Current standings

1. 1December 31
2. 2202746%
3. 3June 30
4. 4202732%
5. 5March 31
6. 6202720%
7. 7December 31
8. 820266%
9. 9November 30
10. 1020264%

Odds shift in real-time as traders buy and sell shares based on new information, so the ranking reflects the market's latest collective view.

"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?" has generated $2.9 million in total trading volume since launch, with $44K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume aggregates more participants behind the implied probabilities, generally tightening spreads and sharpening the consensus signal.

June 30, 2027 has moved down 13 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 45% to 32%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new information entering the market.

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around January 1, 2027. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00. On FrenFlow you can also follow the top traders on this market and automatically copy their positions, so you participate in their picks without having to time each trade yourself.